According to the latest projections from the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention, the U.S. may see around 92,000 additional deaths from COVID-19 over the next three weeks. Already, more than 38,000 Americans have succumbed to the virus in just the first two weeks of 2021.
This grim forecast, part of an ensemble model developed by the CDC, indicates a nearly 25% increase in total fatalities attributed to the virus. The surge in cases and deaths is largely attributed to the aftermath of holiday gatherings during a particularly harsh winter season.
The ensemble approach merges various independent forecasts from experts to generate a more accurate prediction for the upcoming weeks. It includes both national and state-level projections for new and total COVID-19 deaths over the next four weeks. The national ensemble forecast estimates that the total number of COVID-19 deaths in the U.S. could reach up to 477,000 by February 6, marking an increase of over 90,000 within just three weeks.
Data from the Covid Tracking Project reveals that more than 130,000 individuals are currently hospitalized with the virus nationwide. Reports show that COVID-19 deaths have risen by at least 10% in 25 states, with an alarming average of more than 4,000 deaths each day.
The anticipated wave of COVID-19 cases following the holiday season is now evident, with the U.S. recording its highest daily death toll on Tuesday—4,327 lives lost to the virus. The seven-day average for daily deaths has surged from approximately 2,600 to around 3,300, according to a New York Times tracker.
“We transitioned from an already high level of infections to an even greater one,” remarked Dr. Michael Taylor during a recent forum. “Since the conclusion of the holiday season, we’ve witnessed record-breaking statistics.”
“This is a challenging predicament, and the situation is deteriorating,” he cautioned. “I am hopeful that as we approach the end of January, we might observe a peak and a subsequent decline, especially if individuals remain committed to public health measures and resist COVID fatigue.”
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Summary:
The CDC’s recent forecast predicts over 90,000 additional COVID-19 fatalities in the next three weeks, exacerbated by the aftermath of holiday gatherings. As the U.S. grapples with record-high daily death tolls and hospitalizations, experts emphasize the importance of maintaining public health measures to curb the ongoing surge.
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